Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.569681 3.793810 4.032901 4.308357 4.618774 4.959960 5.366404
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.390106 3.707251 4.063685 4.499073 5.023922 5.646372 6.456839
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.126378 3.488238 3.910464 4.449351 5.134353 5.999832 7.219762
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.892068 3.278278 3.742639 4.357199 5.174840 6.268603 7.932267
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.708390 3.112415 3.611145 4.293151 5.239996 6.579180 8.783599
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.560762 2.978847 3.507303 4.252136 5.329072 6.939169 9.821360
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.478162 2.920818 3.494955 4.331966 5.600353 7.628566 11.679273
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.320192 2.753718 3.323834 4.170473 5.487772 7.678819 12.365922
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.245730 2.692181 3.291192 4.205370 5.685882 8.306160 14.602436
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.169120 2.622549 3.241469 4.208854 5.833033 8.880726 17.136364
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.064880 2.509162 3.121863 4.093511 5.761763 9.012279 18.583112
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.973861 2.409599 3.016188 3.991110 5.700526 9.154568 20.236952
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.932506 2.385658 3.031211 4.104099 6.089816 10.517105 29.045637
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.904803 2.379399 3.072372 4.267231 6.620258 12.551259 50.808160
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.827920 2.297387 2.991772 4.212871 6.701814 13.452539 75.344337
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.749662 2.209340 2.896020 4.122222 6.691120 14.100435 114.964916
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.683685 2.136279 2.819338 4.058799 6.732778 14.996187 235.135379
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.627536 2.075179 2.757893 4.017513 6.820902 16.181265 1736.186171
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.597053 2.051210 2.754834 4.086338 7.198023 19.046257 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.528408 1.965777 2.645436 3.937926 6.987832 18.926815 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.496741 1.935925 2.626821 3.967462 7.261825 21.840248 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.462338 1.900177 2.595951 3.969025 7.462743 24.816714 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.412283 1.837952 2.516669 3.863704 7.332309 25.301162 NaN